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UPDATE 2-Brent dips towards $109 on euro zone downgrade risk

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* OPEC unlikely to cut output at Dec. 14 meet

* EU sceptical of Iran oil embargo

* U.S. crude stocks probably fell last week-poll

* Coming Up: U.S. API weekly crude stocks; 2130 GMT

(Updates prices)

SINGAPORE, Dec 6 (Reuters) - Brent crude fell towards

$109 on Tuesday, as a warning by ratings agency Standard &

Poor's that it might downgrade euro zone countries tempered

hopes for a concrete resolution to the region's debt crisis.

The S&P news also overshadowed ongoing tensions between OPEC

producer Iran and the West that could lead to crude supply being

disrupted from the world's fifth-largest exporter.

Brent crude fell 31 cents to $109.50 a barrel by

0627 GMT, after settling down 13 cents at $109.81 on Monday. The

benchmark has lost ground in four out five trading sessions,

Reuters data showed.

U.S. crude shed 24 cents to $100.75 a barrel. It had

settled almost flat at $100.99 a day earlier.

"Prices had run up last week because traders have been

positioning themselves for a possible resolution to the euro

zone crisis, and they've arrived at a level where any negative

news like the S&P report will result in some tweaking of

positions," said Ric Spooner, chief market analyst with CMC

Markets in Sydney.

Asian shares and the euro were also weaker after S&P said it

had told 15 of the 17 euro zone countries that it might

downgrade them within 90 days, depending on the outcome of a

summit to deal with the crisis on Friday.


The threat of a supply risk from Iran, which has helped keep

oil prices above $100 a barrel, eased slightly after diplomats

and traders said the European Union is becoming sceptical about

slapping sanctions on imports of Iranian oil due to fears that

an embargo might damage its own economy.

This comes after U.S. defense secretary Leon Panetta argued

last week against any imminent military action against Iran over

its nuclear program, even as Washington continues to pressure

its allies to import less Iranian crude.


However, the risk of a unilateral strike on Iran by Israel

or an escalation of tensions between Tehran and its Arab

neighbours still remain, analysts said.

In Syria, which already faces an EU ban on imports of its

oil, tensions appeared to ease after the country's foreign

minister said it had conditionally approved an Arab League peace

plan to end eight months of unrest.

OPEC OUTPUT

Market participants are eyeing next week's OPEC meeting,

where the group's members look set to agree on a new production

target that legitimises current cartel output around 30 million

barrels a day.

Iran appears to have given up its campaign to have Gulf Arab

nations cut back supply, with Iranian Oil Minister Rostam Qasemi

telling Reuters on Monday that Tehran would be guided by the

recommendations of the cartel's Vienna-based secretariat.

"Today's elevated oil price is likely to discourage OPEC

from cutting, regardless of the rhetoric from Vienna on Dec 14,"

said analysts at Morgan Stanley in a research note.

"Historically, we find price as the key determinant of OPEC

production, not quotas or rhetoric."

In the United States, crude oil inventories likely fell last

week after rising sharply the week before as imports probably

dropped, a preliminary Reuters poll of analysts showed on

Monday.

On average, U.S. crude stockpiles were expected to have

fallen 1.1 million barrels in the week ended Dec. 5, according

to the poll of seven analysts.


(Editing by Himani Sarkar)

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